Transitioning Power

Exploring Candidate Selection and Leadership Succession in the Persian Gulf Monarchies

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.12797/Politeja.23.2026.103.05

Keywords:

candidate selection, leadership succession, Gulf monarchies, ruling families, political institutionalization, Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), electorate

Abstract

The aim of the paper is to determine the degree of institutionalization of and the processes that are in place for the selection of a candidate for the highest office of the state in the Persian Gulf monarchies. The research is based on qualitative methods, including analyses of legal acts and available data from six countries in the region: Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, Oman, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). The authors propose a new and comparative approach to the study of candidate selection and succession in the Persian Gulf states by creating and verifying a theoretical model of candidate selection and a scale of inclusiveness. In the course of the analyses, a hypothesis was positively verified, which assumed that the selection of candidates for the crown prince is a process with a low degree of institutionalization, and the decision to choose the successor to the monarch/president belongs to a narrow circle of the ruling family. The degree of inclusiveness of the selectorate in the process of selecting a candidate or leader varies in individual countries, although a model granting competence to the ruler or his closest family predominates.

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Author Biographies

  • Wojciech Grabowski, University of Gdańsk

    Is an Associate Professor at the Institute of Political Science, University of Gdańsk, where he heads the Department of International Relations and serves as Director of the Polish-Turkish Studies Centre. His research focuses on the international relations of the Middle East, particularly the Gulf states, Iran and Türkiye, as well as regional security, foreign policy, authoritarianism and migration. He is the author and co-author of academic books and articles devoted to the politics and international relations of the Middle East.

  • Maciej Hartliński, University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn

    Associate Professor at the Institute of Political Science at the University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn. Research interests mainly focus on political leadership and political parties, and recently the pre-selection of party leaders, parliamentary discourse involving political leaders, as well as intra-party democracy and candidate selection. Initiated the Party Leaders Database project (party-leaders.eu).

  • Robert Czulda, University of Łódź

    Associate Professor at the Department of Theory of Foreign Policy and Security Studies at the University of Łódź, former researcher at the University of Maryland (2017–2018, Fulbright Senior Award), and former visiting lecturer in Iran, Taiwan, Brazil, Turkey, Indonesia, and the United States.

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Published

04-08-2026

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How to Cite

“Transitioning Power: Exploring Candidate Selection and Leadership Succession in the Persian Gulf Monarchies”. 2026. Politeja 23 (3(103): 87-109. https://doi.org/10.12797/Politeja.23.2026.103.05.